The
shifts in age-group ratios in the population are confronting all continents
with new challenges. The comparison between the years 1999 and 2050
in the graph illustrates a noticeable rise in the number of older
people. United Nations forecasts predict an increase in the number
of over 60 year olds from 10 to 22 percent by the year 2050 alone.
The tasks for governments and society arising from this development
call for renewed international cooperation. In this process, special
attention will need to be given to developing countries, where some
three quarters of all older persons will live by the year 2030. Current
estimates reveal that demographic change in the so-called Third World
will take place at about four times the rate of that in Western Europe
for instance. At the moment Europe is at the top of the old age statistics
with the highest life expectancy rate. In the period from 1960 to
1995 life expectancy in the European Union rose by 8 years for men
and 7 years for women. In 1995 almost one fifth of the population
was over 60, by the year 2020 probably one in four will be in this
age group. There is a particularly striking increase of around 40
per cent in the number of the very old. At the same time the proportion
of younger people is clearly shrinking. The age group of those between
15 and 26 years old alone is decreasing by some 13 million, which
is a drop of some 16 per cent. Statistics show that the world population
is ageing at varying time perspectives in the various regions and
with differing rates of intensity.